Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Silveira vs Matěj Peňáz

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

15-6-0Record11-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach83"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top Team· avg 1721 EloTeamReinders MMA· avg 1602 Elo

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh SilveiraNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
Matěj PeňázNow 1680
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1675 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1508 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josh SilveiraMatěj Peňáz
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (40%)
KO/TKO
10 (91%)
6 (40%)
Submission
0 (0%)
3 (20%)
Decision
1 (9%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Josh Silveira and Matěj Peňáz within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1680 vs 1680), separated by just 0 points.

Matěj Peňáz enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Josh Silveira finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Matěj Peňáz 91%.

Matěj Peňáz carries a 8-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.