Josh Silveira vs Matěj Peňáz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-6-0Record11-1-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'1"Height6'3"
75"Reach83"
205 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamReinders MMA· 1606 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1697
If they lose-16→ 1665
If they win+16→ 1696
If they lose-16→ 1664
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1677 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1507 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josh SilveiraMatěj Peňáz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Silveira57%
Matěj Peňáz 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Silveira a 57% favorite over Matěj Peňáz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1681 vs 1680), separated by just 1 points.
Matěj Peňáz enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Josh Silveira finishes 80% of wins inside the distance, Matěj Peňáz 91%.
Matěj Peňáz carries a 8-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.