Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Stansbury vs Tuco Tokkos

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tuco Tokkos

Tuco Tokkos

“Tuco”

11-6-0Light HeavyweightUFC

1592Solid

Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record11-6-0
Light HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
74,0"Reach76"
205 lbsWeight205 lbs
Team ImpactTeamKill Cliff FC

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josh StansburyNow 1591
If they win+16→ 1607
If they lose-16→ 1575
Tuco TokkosNow 1592
If they win+16→ 1608
If they lose-16→ 1576

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1540 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1568 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.22
Sig. strikes / min
2.12
55%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.54
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.27
55%
Strike defense
47%
0
Takedown avg.
4.21
0%
Takedown accuracy
47%
88%
Takedown defense
33%
0.96
Submission avg.
0.47

Trajectory

Josh StansburyTuco Tokkos
160016502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (13%)
KO/TKO
6 (55%)
5 (63%)
Submission
3 (27%)
2 (25%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Tuco Tokkos63%
Josh Stansbury 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Tuco Tokkos a 63% favorite over Josh Stansbury in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1591 vs 1592), separated by just 1 points.

Josh Stansbury enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Josh Stansbury finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Tuco Tokkos 82%.

Tuco Tokkos carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.