Combat Edge Intelligence

Josh Stuart vs Leandro Camargo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

0-2-0Record7-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
159 lbsWeight161 lbs
TBDTeamStrikers MMA

What's at stake

Leandro Camargo is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Josh Stuart carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Josh StuartNow 1444
If they win+27→ 1471
If they lose-21→ 1423
Leandro CamargoNow 1489
If they win+14→ 1503
If they lose-18→ 1471

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1462 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josh StuartLeandro Camargo
1450150015501999200020012002200320042005200620072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
1 (14%)
0 (0%)
Submission
6 (86%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Leandro Camargo70%
Josh Stuart 30%Elo baseline: 56%

The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Camargo a 70% favorite over Josh Stuart in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).

Leandro Camargo holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1489 to 1444, a 45-point edge.

Josh Stuart enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Leandro Camargo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Leandro Camargo 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.