Josh Thomson vs King Green
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
22-9-0Record36-17-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach71″
153 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamPinnacle MMA
What's at stake
King Green is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Josh Thomson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1697
If they lose-11→ 1673
If they win+11→ 1734
If they lose-13→ 1710
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1695 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh ThomsonKing Green
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
King Green84%
Josh Thomson 16%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes King Green a 84% favorite over Josh Thomson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
King Green holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1684, a 39-point edge.
King Green enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Josh Thomson finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, King Green 64%.
Josh Thomson and King Green share 1 common opponent: Tony Ferguson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.