Josh Thomson vs Yves Edwards
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-9-0Record42-22-1
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReachTBD
153 lbsWeight155 lbs
American Kickboxing AcademyTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1696
If they lose-12→ 1672
If they win+12→ 1698
If they lose-12→ 1674
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1671 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1633 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh ThomsonYves Edwards
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josh Thomson66%
Yves Edwards 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josh Thomson a 66% favorite over Yves Edwards in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Yves Edwards's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1684 vs 1686), separated by just 2 points.
Yves Edwards enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Josh Thomson finishes 73% of wins inside the distance, Yves Edwards 79%.
Josh Thomson and Yves Edwards share 1 common opponent: Tony Ferguson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.