Josh Thornburg vs Leandro Camargo
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-8-0Record7-8-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
170 lbsWeight161 lbs
Cesar Gracie Jiu-JitsuTeamStrikers MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1504
If they lose-16→ 1472
If they win+16→ 1505
If they lose-16→ 1473
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1558 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josh ThornburgLeandro Camargo
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Leandro Camargo83%
Josh Thornburg 17%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Leandro Camargo a 83% favorite over Josh Thornburg in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1488 vs 1489), separated by just 1 points.
Josh Thornburg enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
Leandro Camargo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Josh Thornburg finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Leandro Camargo 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.