Joshua Aleman vs Lorenzo de Nigris
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-3-0Record2-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'9"Height5'7"
TBDReach-
146 lbsWeight146 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1528
If they lose-24→ 1480
If they win+24→ 1525
If they lose-24→ 1477
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1489 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joshua AlemanLorenzo de Nigris
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Aleman70%
Lorenzo de Nigris 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Aleman a 70% favorite over Lorenzo de Nigris in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1504 vs 1501), separated by just 3 points.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.