Joshua Burkman vs Karo Parisyan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-18-0Record24-12-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
39,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight169 lbs
The Pit Elevated Fight TeamTeamTBD
What's at stake
Joshua Burkman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — Karo Parisyan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+10→ 1654
If they lose-14→ 1630
If they win+14→ 1589
If they lose-10→ 1565
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1556 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joshua BurkmanKaro Parisyan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Burkman58%
Karo Parisyan 42%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Burkman a 58% favorite over Karo Parisyan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Joshua Burkman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1575, a 69-point edge.
Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Karo Parisyan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joshua Burkman finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Karo Parisyan 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.