Joshua Burkman vs KJ Noons
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-18-0Record13-9-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
39,0"Reach39.00
155 lbsWeight168 lbs
The Pit Elevated Fight TeamTeamThe Arena
What's at stake
Joshua Burkman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — KJ Noons carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1655
If they lose-13→ 1631
If they win+17→ 1646
If they lose-15→ 1614
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1674 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joshua BurkmanKJ Noons
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Burkman52%
KJ Noons 48%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Burkman a 52% favorite over KJ Noons in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Joshua Burkman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1629, a 15-point edge.
Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
KJ Noons enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joshua Burkman finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, KJ Noons 69%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.