Joshua Burkman vs Mike Swick
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-18-0Record15-6-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
39,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Pit Elevated Fight TeamTeamAKA Thailand
What's at stake
Mike Swick is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +14 while a loss costs more — Joshua Burkman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+14→ 1658
If they lose-10→ 1634
If they win+14→ 1712
If they lose-18→ 1680
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joshua BurkmanMike Swick
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mike Swick66%
Joshua Burkman 34%Elo baseline: 58%
The Combat Edge model makes Mike Swick a 66% favorite over Joshua Burkman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (58%).
Mike Swick holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1698 to 1644, a 54-point edge.
Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Mike Swick enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joshua Burkman finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Mike Swick 73%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.