Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Burkman vs Patrick Cote

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Joshua Burkman
us

Joshua Burkman

“The People's Warrior”

28-18-0LightweightLFA

1644Solid
Patrick Cote
ca

Patrick Cote

“The Predator”

23-11-0WelterweightUFC

1728Good

Tale of the tape

28-18-0Record23-11-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'11"
39,0"Reach75"
155 lbsWeight170 lbs
The Pit Elevated Fight TeamTeamBTT Canada

What's at stake

Patrick Cote is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Joshua Burkman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joshua BurkmanNow 1644
If they win+15→ 1659
If they lose-9→ 1635
Patrick CoteNow 1728
If they win+9→ 1737
If they lose-15→ 1713

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
2.81
44%
Strike accuracy
48%
3.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
52%
Strike defense
49%
2.53
Takedown avg.
0.68
37%
Takedown accuracy
21%
73%
Takedown defense
44%
0.30
Submission avg.
0.25

Trajectory

Joshua BurkmanPatrick Cote
16501700175020152016201720182019

Win method breakdown

7 (25%)
KO/TKO
10 (45%)
10 (36%)
Submission
3 (14%)
11 (39%)
Decision
9 (41%)

Combat Edge model read

Patrick Cote78%
Joshua Burkman 22%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Patrick Cote a 78% favorite over Joshua Burkman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Patrick Cote holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1728 to 1644, a 84-point edge.

Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Patrick Cote enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joshua Burkman finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Patrick Cote 59%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.