Joshua Burkman vs Paul Felder
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-18-0Record17-6-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
39,0"Reach70,5"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
The Pit Elevated Fight TeamTeamRoufusport
What's at stake
Paul Felder is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Joshua Burkman carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1659
If they lose-9→ 1635
If they win+9→ 1743
If they lose-15→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1667 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joshua BurkmanPaul Felder
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paul Felder83%
Joshua Burkman 17%Elo baseline: 63%
The Combat Edge model makes Paul Felder a 83% favorite over Joshua Burkman in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (63%).
Paul Felder holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1734 to 1644, a 90-point edge.
Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Paul Felder enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joshua Burkman finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Paul Felder 65%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.