Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Burkman vs Pete Sell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Joshua Burkman
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Joshua Burkman

“The People's Warrior”

28-18-0LightweightLFA

1644Solid
Pete Sell
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Pete Sell

“Drago”

10-7-0MiddleweightROC

1560Solid

Tale of the tape

28-18-0Record10-7-0
LightweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height5'11"
39,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight179 lbs
The Pit Elevated Fight TeamTeamSerra-Longo Fight Team

What's at stake

Joshua Burkman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Pete Sell carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Joshua BurkmanNow 1644
If they win+9→ 1653
If they lose-15→ 1629
Pete SellNow 1560
If they win+20→ 1580
If they lose-12→ 1548

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.69
Sig. strikes / min
2.60
44%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.13
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.65
52%
Strike defense
52%
2.53
Takedown avg.
0.91
37%
Takedown accuracy
21%
73%
Takedown defense
48%
0.30
Submission avg.
0.91

Trajectory

Joshua BurkmanPete Sell
15501600165017002016201720182019

Win method breakdown

7 (25%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
10 (36%)
Submission
4 (40%)
11 (39%)
Decision
6 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Burkman57%
Pete Sell 43%Elo baseline: 62%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Burkman a 57% favorite over Pete Sell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (62%).

Joshua Burkman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1560, a 84-point edge.

Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Joshua Burkman finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Pete Sell 40%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.