Joshua Burkman vs Sammy Morgan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
28-18-0Record18-12-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
39,0"ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight165 lbs
The Pit Elevated Fight TeamTeamTeam Bison
What's at stake
Joshua Burkman is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Sammy Morgan carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1651
If they lose-17→ 1627
If they win+35→ 1507
If they lose-13→ 1459
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joshua BurkmanSammy Morgan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Burkman64%
Sammy Morgan 36%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Burkman a 64% favorite over Sammy Morgan in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Joshua Burkman holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1644 to 1472, a 172-point edge.
Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Sammy Morgan enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joshua Burkman finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Sammy Morgan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.