Joshua Burkman vs Tymoteusz Łopaczyk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
28-18-0Record14-4-0
LightweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'9"
39,0"Reach73"
155 lbsWeight171 lbs
The Pit Elevated Fight TeamTeamWCA Fight Team· 1652 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1656
If they lose-12→ 1632
If they win+16→ 1661
If they lose-16→ 1629
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1662 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1537 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joshua BurkmanTymoteusz Łopaczyk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Burkman54%
Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 46%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Burkman a 54% favorite over Tymoteusz Łopaczyk in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tymoteusz Łopaczyk's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1644 vs 1645), separated by just 1 points.
Joshua Burkman enters on a 6-fight loss streak.
Joshua Burkman finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Tymoteusz Łopaczyk 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.