Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Onwordi vs Kevin Engel

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Kevin Engel
us

Kevin Engel

“The Hitman”

5-1-0WelterweightBFC

1503Average

Tale of the tape

7-7-0Record5-1-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'2"
-Reach81"
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
BKK FightersTeamFinney's Hit Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joshua OnwordiNow 1502
If they win+16→ 1518
If they lose-16→ 1486
Kevin EngelNow 1503
If they win+24→ 1527
If they lose-24→ 1479

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 2 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
4.24
TBD
Strike accuracy
49%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.21
TBD
Strike defense
51%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.83
TBD
Takedown accuracy
39%
TBD
Takedown defense
54%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.59

Trajectory

Joshua OnwordiKevin Engel
1450150015502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
4 (80%)
2 (29%)
Submission
1 (20%)
5 (71%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Onwordi53%
Kevin Engel 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Onwordi a 53% favorite over Kevin Engel in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Kevin Engel's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1503), separated by just 1 points.

Joshua Onwordi finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Kevin Engel 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.