Joshua Onwordi vs Marcelo Aguiar
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-7-0Record2-3-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'8"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight168 lbs
BKK FightersTeamAcademia Boxe
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1516
If they lose-16→ 1484
If they win+24→ 1526
If they lose-24→ 1478
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1587 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joshua OnwordiMarcelo Aguiar
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Onwordi51%
Marcelo Aguiar 49%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Onwordi a 51% favorite over Marcelo Aguiar in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcelo Aguiar's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1502), separated by just 2 points.
Marcelo Aguiar enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joshua Onwordi finishes 29% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.