Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Onwordi vs Ryan Madigan

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Madigan
us

Ryan Madigan

“The Lion”

5-3-0WelterweightWorld Kickboxing Academy

1506Average

Tale of the tape

7-7-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
BKK FightersTeamJungle Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joshua OnwordiNow 1500
If they win+16→ 1516
If they lose-16→ 1484
Ryan MadiganNow 1506
If they win+24→ 1530
If they lose-24→ 1482

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 7 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
0
TBD
Strike accuracy
0%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.35
TBD
Strike defense
48%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joshua OnwordiRyan Madigan
145015001550160020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
3 (60%)
2 (29%)
Submission
2 (40%)
5 (71%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joshua Onwordi and Ryan Madigan within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1500 vs 1506), separated by just 6 points.

Ryan Madigan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Joshua Onwordi finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Madigan 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.