Joshua Onwordi vs Ryan Madigan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
7-7-0Record5-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
-ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
BKK FightersTeamJungle Fight Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1518
If they lose-16→ 1486
If they win+24→ 1530
If they lose-24→ 1482
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1506 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1520 · 7 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joshua OnwordiRyan Madigan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Onwordi73%
Ryan Madigan 27%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Onwordi a 73% favorite over Ryan Madigan in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Madigan's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1502 vs 1506), separated by just 4 points.
Ryan Madigan enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joshua Onwordi finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Madigan 100%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.