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Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Sierra vs Micheal Gillmore

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record6-5-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height5'11"
69"Reach72"
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamMurcielago MMA· 1670 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joshua SierraNow 1523
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
Micheal GillmoreNow 1523
If they win+16→ 1539
If they lose-16→ 1507

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1523 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.04
Not available
Strike accuracy
57%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.02
Not available
Strike defense
43%
Not available
Takedown avg.
0
Not available
Takedown accuracy
Not available
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joshua SierraMicheal Gillmore
150015502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
3 (50%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (50%)
Decision
3 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Sierra55%
Micheal Gillmore 45%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Sierra a 55% favorite over Micheal Gillmore in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1523 vs 1523), separated by just 0 points.

Micheal Gillmore enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joshua Sierra finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Micheal Gillmore 50%.

Micheal Gillmore carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.