Joshua Sierra vs Rudy Bears
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record16-15-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
69"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight169 lbs
MMA MastersTeamCaveman Crew
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
If they win+12→ 1535
If they lose-12→ 1511
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1558 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joshua SierraRudy Bears
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rudy Bears53%
Joshua Sierra 47%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rudy Bears a 53% favorite over Joshua Sierra in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joshua Sierra's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1523 vs 1523), separated by just 0 points.
Rudy Bears enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Joshua Sierra finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Rudy Bears 81%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.