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Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Sierra vs Thiago Perpétuo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

4-3-0Record9-4-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'10"
69"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA MastersTeamFuracao Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joshua SierraNow 1523
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
Thiago PerpétuoNow 1524
If they win+24→ 1548
If they lose-24→ 1500

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 4 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
5.39
Not available
Strike accuracy
70%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.51
Not available
Strike defense
51%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.82
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
67%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Joshua SierraThiago Perpétuo
1500155020132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (50%)
KO/TKO
7 (78%)
0 (0%)
Submission
1 (11%)
2 (50%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Sierra51%
Thiago Perpétuo 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Sierra a 51% favorite over Thiago Perpétuo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Thiago Perpétuo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1523 vs 1524), separated by just 1 points.

Thiago Perpétuo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Joshua Sierra finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Thiago Perpétuo 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.