Joshua Sierra vs Tommy Speer
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record21-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'11"Height5'11"
69"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA MastersTeam
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
If they win+24→ 1543
If they lose-24→ 1495
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1639 · 2 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joshua SierraTommy Speer
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joshua Sierra and Tommy Speer within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1523 vs 1519), separated by just 4 points.
Joshua Sierra finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Speer 76%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.