Joshua Sierra vs Wagner Silva
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
4-3-0Record10-8-0
WelterweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'11"Height6'0"
69"ReachTBD
171 lbsWeight185 lbs
MMA MastersTeamTata Fight Team· 1517 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1547
If they lose-24→ 1499
If they win+16→ 1538
If they lose-16→ 1506
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1508 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1521 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joshua SierraWagner Silva
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Sierra61%
Wagner Silva 39%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Sierra a 61% favorite over Wagner Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1523 vs 1522), separated by just 1 points.
Wagner Silva enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Joshua Sierra finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Wagner Silva 70%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.