Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Van vs Kyoji Horiguchi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joshua Van
mm

Joshua Van

“The Fearless”

17-2-0FlyweightUFC

1801Great

Tale of the tape

17-2-0Record36-6-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
65"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight134 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joshua VanNow 1801
If they win+16→ 1817
If they lose-16→ 1785
Kyoji HoriguchiNow 1801
If they win+12→ 1813
If they lose-12→ 1789

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1696 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1646 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

8.43
Sig. strikes / min
3.77
57%
Strike accuracy
47%
5.82
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
58%
Strike defense
64%
0.82
Takedown avg.
1.61
0%
Takedown accuracy
41%
76%
Takedown defense
61%
0.21
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Joshua VanKyoji Horiguchi
1650170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (53%)
KO/TKO
15 (42%)
2 (12%)
Submission
6 (17%)
6 (35%)
Decision
15 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Van63%
Kyoji Horiguchi 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 63% favorite over Kyoji Horiguchi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1801 vs 1801), separated by just 0 points.

Joshua Van enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Joshua Van finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Kyoji Horiguchi 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.