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Combat Edge Intelligence

Joshua Van vs Kyoji Horiguchi

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Joshua Van
mm

Joshua Van

“The Fearless”

18-2-0FlyweightUFC

1817Great

Tale of the tape

18-2-0Record36-6-0
FlyweightDivisionBantamweight
5'5"Height5'5"
65"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight134 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1606 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Joshua VanNow 1817
If they win+15→ 1832
If they lose-17→ 1800
Kyoji HoriguchiNow 1803
If they win+12→ 1815
If they lose-12→ 1791

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1650 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

8.26
Sig. strikes / min
3.77
58%
Strike accuracy
47%
5.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
57%
Strike defense
64%
0.70
Takedown avg.
1.61
0%
Takedown accuracy
41%
75%
Takedown defense
61%
0.26
Submission avg.
0.11

Trajectory

Joshua VanKyoji Horiguchi
170017501800202420252026

Win method breakdown

9 (50%)
KO/TKO
15 (42%)
2 (11%)
Submission
6 (17%)
7 (39%)
Decision
15 (42%)

Combat Edge model read

Joshua Van59%
Kyoji Horiguchi 41%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 59% favorite over Kyoji Horiguchi in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1817 vs 1803), separated by just 14 points.

Joshua Van enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Joshua Van finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Kyoji Horiguchi 58%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.