Joshua Van vs Muhammad Mokaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-2-0Record16-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'9"
65"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamKHK MMA Team· 1684 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1817
If they lose-16→ 1785
If they win+16→ 1821
If they lose-16→ 1789
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1696 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joshua VanMuhammad Mokaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Joshua Van and Muhammad Mokaev within a point of even.
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1801 vs 1805), separated by just 4 points.
Joshua Van enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Joshua Van finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Mokaev 63%.
Joshua Van and Muhammad Mokaev share 1 common opponent: Charles Johnson.
Muhammad Mokaev carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.