Joshua Van vs Muhammad Mokaev
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record16-0-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'9"
65"Reach70"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1606 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamKHK MMA Team· 1686 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+15→ 1832
If they lose-17→ 1800
If they win+17→ 1822
If they lose-15→ 1790
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1608 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joshua VanMuhammad Mokaev
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Muhammad Mokaev57%
Joshua Van 43%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Muhammad Mokaev a 57% favorite over Joshua Van in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Joshua Van's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1817 vs 1805), separated by just 12 points.
Joshua Van enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Muhammad Mokaev enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Joshua Van finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Muhammad Mokaev 63%.
Joshua Van and Muhammad Mokaev share 1 common opponent: Charles Johnson.
Muhammad Mokaev carries a 5-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.