Joshua Van vs Rei Tsuruya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-2-0Record11-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
65"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
4oz. Fight ClubTeamThe Blackbelt Japan
What's at stake
Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Rei Tsuruya carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1813
If they lose-19→ 1781
If they win+19→ 1748
If they lose-13→ 1716
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1694 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1585 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joshua VanRei Tsuruya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Van61%
Rei Tsuruya 39%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 61% favorite over Rei Tsuruya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1800 to 1729, a 71-point edge.
Joshua Van enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Joshua Van finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Rei Tsuruya 82%.
Rei Tsuruya carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.