Joshua Van vs Rei Tsuruya
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record12-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'7"
65"Reach68"
125 lbsWeight126 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1605 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamThe Blackbelt Japan· 1645 avg Elo · 7 rated
What's at stake
Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Rei Tsuruya carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1830
If they lose-19→ 1798
If they win+19→ 1775
If they lose-13→ 1743
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1622 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joshua VanRei Tsuruya
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Van66%
Rei Tsuruya 34%Elo baseline: 59%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 66% favorite over Rei Tsuruya in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (59%).
Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1817 to 1756, a 61-point edge.
Joshua Van enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Rei Tsuruya enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Joshua Van finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Rei Tsuruya 83%.
Joshua Van and Rei Tsuruya share 1 common opponent: Kevin Borjas.
Rei Tsuruya carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.