Joshua Van vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
17-2-0Record19-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
65"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1653 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Zhalgas Zhumagulov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1810
If they lose-23→ 1778
If they win+23→ 1666
If they lose-9→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1696 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joshua VanZhalgas Zhumagulov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Van92%
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 8%Elo baseline: 71%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 92% favorite over Zhalgas Zhumagulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (71%).
Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1801 to 1643, a 158-point edge.
Joshua Van enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Joshua Van finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 53%.
Joshua Van and Zhalgas Zhumagulov share 1 common opponent: Charles Johnson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.