Joshua Van vs Zhalgas Zhumagulov
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record19-9-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'4"
65"Reach66"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
4oz. Fight Club· 1605 avg Elo · 9 ratedTeamAmerican Top Team
What's at stake
Joshua Van is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +9 while a loss costs more — Zhalgas Zhumagulov carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+9→ 1826
If they lose-23→ 1794
If they win+23→ 1666
If they lose-9→ 1634
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1711 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1591 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joshua VanZhalgas Zhumagulov
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Van90%
Zhalgas Zhumagulov 10%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Van a 90% favorite over Zhalgas Zhumagulov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Joshua Van holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1817 to 1643, a 174-point edge.
Joshua Van enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Zhalgas Zhumagulov enters on a 5-fight win streak.
Joshua Van finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Zhalgas Zhumagulov 53%.
Joshua Van and Zhalgas Zhumagulov share 1 common opponent: Charles Johnson.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.