Joshua Weems vs TJ Brown
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
17-9-0Record20-12-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
69"Reach72"
154 lbsWeight156 lbs
Black Sails MMATeamWestside MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1617
If they lose-16→ 1585
If they win+12→ 1613
If they lose-12→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1571 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1606 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Joshua WeemsTJ Brown
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joshua Weems63%
TJ Brown 37%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Joshua Weems a 63% favorite over TJ Brown in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1601 vs 1601), separated by just 0 points.
Joshua Weems finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, TJ Brown 80%.
Joshua Weems and TJ Brown share 2 common opponents: Kai Kamaka III and Rey Trujillo.
TJ Brown carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (2)
WinDecision (Unanimous) · 2024
WinSubmission (Rear Naked Choke) · 2024