Josiah Harrell vs Logan Paxton
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record10-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'7"Height5'10"
68"Reach70"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Grove City BJJTeamNick Diaz Academy· 1684 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josiah HarrellLogan Paxton
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josiah Harrell52%
Logan Paxton 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josiah Harrell a 52% favorite over Logan Paxton in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Logan Paxton's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1678), separated by just 1 points.
Josiah Harrell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josiah Harrell finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Logan Paxton 90%.
Logan Paxton carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.