Josiah Harrell vs Samuel Sanches
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record11-1-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height5'10"
68"Reach74"
170 lbsWeight155 lbs
Grove City BJJTeamGalpao da Luta· 1684 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1693
If they lose-16→ 1661
If they win+16→ 1692
If they lose-16→ 1660
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1547 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1485 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Josiah HarrellSamuel Sanches
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josiah Harrell55%
Samuel Sanches 45%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josiah Harrell a 55% favorite over Samuel Sanches in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1677 vs 1676), separated by just 1 points.
Josiah Harrell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Samuel Sanches enters on a 8-fight win streak.
Josiah Harrell finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Samuel Sanches 82%.
Samuel Sanches carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.