Josias Musasa vs Mark Vologdin
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-2-0Record12-4-2
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'5"
74"Reach65"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Elite Training Center - LubumbashiTeamAllstars Training Center
What's at stake
Mark Vologdin is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Josias Musasa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1636
If they lose-15→ 1604
If they win+15→ 1650
If they lose-17→ 1618
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josias MusasaMark Vologdin
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Mark Vologdin59%
Josias Musasa 41%Elo baseline: 52%
The Combat Edge model makes Mark Vologdin a 59% favorite over Josias Musasa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).
Mark Vologdin holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1635 to 1619, a 16-point edge.
Josias Musasa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Josias Musasa finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Mark Vologdin 83%.
Josias Musasa carries a 9-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.