Josiel Silva vs Luan Lacerda
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
24-7-0Record13-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'4"Height5'7"
64.6"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Renovacao Coari TeamTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1670
If they lose-16→ 1638
If they win+16→ 1669
If they lose-16→ 1637
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1548 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1564 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Josiel SilvaLuan Lacerda
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Josiel Silva60%
Luan Lacerda 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Josiel Silva a 60% favorite over Luan Lacerda in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1654 vs 1653), separated by just 1 points.
Josiel Silva enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Josiel Silva finishes 61% of wins inside the distance, Luan Lacerda 85%.
Luan Lacerda carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.