Combat Edge Intelligence

Josua Hernández vs William Caron

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

2-3-0Record0-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'4"Height5'5"
65"ReachTBD
125 lbsWeight125 LBS
Invictus No Love TeamTeamTristar Québec

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Josua HernándezNow 1478
If they win+24→ 1502
If they lose-24→ 1454
William CaronNow 1471
If they win+24→ 1495
If they lose-24→ 1447

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1499 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Josua HernándezWilliam Caron
15002017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (50%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
1 (50%)
Submission
1 (100%)
0 (0%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Josua Hernández63%
William Caron 37%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes Josua Hernández a 63% favorite over William Caron in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1478 vs 1471), separated by just 7 points.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.