José Aldo vs Petr Yan
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-10-0Record20-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamArchangel Michael Club· 1771 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
Petr Yan is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — José Aldo carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1795
If they lose-11→ 1771
If they win+11→ 1831
If they lose-13→ 1807
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1746 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1778 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
José AldoPetr Yan
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Petr Yan71%
José Aldo 29%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Petr Yan a 71% favorite over José Aldo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Petr Yan holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1820 to 1782, a 38-point edge.
José Aldo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Petr Yan enters on a 4-fight win streak.
José Aldo finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Petr Yan 40%.
José Aldo and Petr Yan share 1 common opponent: Merab Dvalishvili.
José Aldo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Common opponents (1)
LossDecision (unanimous) · 2022
WinDecision (unanimous) · 2025
LossDecision - Unanimous · 2023