José Aldo vs Raoni Barcelos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
32-10-0Record22-5-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'7"
70"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamLaerte Barcelos Team
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1793
If they lose-12→ 1769
If they win+16→ 1796
If they lose-16→ 1764
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1747 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1708 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
José AldoRaoni Barcelos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Raoni Barcelos70%
José Aldo 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Raoni Barcelos a 70% favorite over José Aldo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans José Aldo's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1781 vs 1780), separated by just 1 points.
José Aldo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Raoni Barcelos enters on a 5-fight win streak.
José Aldo finishes 56% of wins inside the distance, Raoni Barcelos 50%.
José Aldo carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.