Combat Edge Intelligence

José Delano vs Tatsuya Kawajiri

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-3-0Record37-14-2
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'8"Height5'7"
70"Reach69.00
146 lbsWeight145 lbs
Brazilian Top TeamTeamT-Blood

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

José DelanoNow 1731
If they win+16→ 1747
If they lose-16→ 1715
Tatsuya KawajiriNow 1727
If they win+12→ 1739
If they lose-12→ 1715

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1539 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1655 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

9.73
Sig. strikes / min
2.04
66%
Strike accuracy
45%
2.53
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.01
73%
Strike defense
51%
0
Takedown avg.
3.63
0%
Takedown accuracy
49%
60%
Takedown defense
64%
0
Submission avg.
1.12

Trajectory

José DelanoTatsuya Kawajiri
170017502017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (24%)
KO/TKO
12 (33%)
5 (29%)
Submission
10 (28%)
8 (47%)
Decision
14 (39%)

Combat Edge model read

José Delano71%
Tatsuya Kawajiri 29%Elo baseline: 51%

The Combat Edge model makes José Delano a 71% favorite over Tatsuya Kawajiri in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1731 vs 1727), separated by just 4 points.

José Delano enters on a 5-fight win streak.

José Delano finishes 53% of wins inside the distance, Tatsuya Kawajiri 61%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.