José Montanha vs Justin Tafa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
6-1-0Record7-5-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'0"
76"Reach74"
265 lbsWeight265 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1636
If they lose-24→ 1588
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1518 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1604 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
José MontanhaJustin Tafa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Justin Tafa58%
José Montanha 42%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Justin Tafa a 58% favorite over José Montanha in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans José Montanha's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1612 vs 1608), separated by just 4 points.
José Montanha enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Justin Tafa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
José Montanha finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Justin Tafa 100%.
José Montanha carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.