José Medina vs Mark Weir
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-7-0Record21-18-1
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'2"
74″ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Phuket Fight ClubTeamRange
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
If they win+12→ 1549
If they lose-12→ 1525
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1561 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1552 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
José MedinaMark Weir
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
José Medina70%
Mark Weir 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes José Medina a 70% favorite over Mark Weir in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mark Weir's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1537), separated by just 1 points.
José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.
José Medina finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Mark Weir 95%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.