Combat Edge Intelligence

José Medina vs Shane Sobnosky

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-7-0Record9-8-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'0"Height6'1"
74″Reach72"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Phuket Fight ClubTeamFuria MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

José MedinaNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520
Shane SobnoskyNow 1536
If they win+16→ 1552
If they lose-16→ 1520

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1524 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

2.16
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
37%
Strike accuracy
TBD
5.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
0.40
Takedown avg.
TBD
33%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
28%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

José MedinaShane Sobnosky
15501600202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (73%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
2 (18%)
Submission
1 (11%)
1 (9%)
Decision
3 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting José Medina and Shane Sobnosky within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1536 vs 1536), separated by just 0 points.

José Medina enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

José Medina finishes 91% of wins inside the distance, Shane Sobnosky 67%.

José Medina carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.