Jovan Leka vs Martin Buday
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
14-2-0Record16-4-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'5"
75"Reach77"
259 lbsWeight265 lbs
Family Fight TeamTeamSpartakus Fight Gym· 1654 avg Elo · 4 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1710
If they lose-16→ 1678
If they win+16→ 1716
If they lose-16→ 1684
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1651 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Jovan LekaMartin Buday
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Martin Buday66%
Jovan Leka 34%Elo baseline: 51%
The Combat Edge model makes Martin Buday a 66% favorite over Jovan Leka in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (51%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1694 vs 1700), separated by just 6 points.
Jovan Leka enters on a 7-fight win streak.
Martin Buday enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Jovan Leka finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Martin Buday 56%.
Martin Buday carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.