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Combat Edge Intelligence

Jovan Leka vs Ruslan Magomedov

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

14-2-0Record15-3-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'4"Height6'3"
75"Reach78,0"
259 lbsWeight249 lbs
Family Fight TeamTeamFight Club Berkut· 1633 avg Elo · 11 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jovan LekaNow 1698
If they win+16→ 1714
If they lose-16→ 1682
Ruslan MagomedovNow 1697
If they win+16→ 1713
If they lose-16→ 1681

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.60
Sig. strikes / min
4.02
75%
Strike accuracy
48%
0.60
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.47
44%
Strike defense
66%
1
Takedown avg.
0.33
0%
Takedown accuracy
100%
56%
Takedown defense
89%
1
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Jovan LekaRuslan Magomedov
16001650170017502020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (57%)
KO/TKO
4 (27%)
4 (29%)
Submission
2 (13%)
2 (14%)
Decision
9 (60%)

Combat Edge model read

Jovan Leka56%
Ruslan Magomedov 44%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jovan Leka a 56% favorite over Ruslan Magomedov in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1698 vs 1697), separated by just 1 points.

Jovan Leka enters on a 7-fight win streak.

Ruslan Magomedov enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jovan Leka finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Ruslan Magomedov 40%.

Ruslan Magomedov carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.