Combat Edge Intelligence

Jozef Wittner vs Matt Lee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Matt Lee
us

Matt Lee

14-10-1WelterweightVP

1549Average

Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record14-10-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height6'0"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA Top Team KosiceTeamThe Factory

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jozef WittnerNow 1544
If they win+16→ 1560
If they lose-16→ 1528
Matt LeeNow 1549
If they win+12→ 1561
If they lose-12→ 1537

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1532 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Jozef WittnerMatt Lee
1550160020102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
8 (50%)
Submission
1 (7%)
5 (31%)
Decision
8 (57%)

Combat Edge model read

Jozef Wittner60%
Matt Lee 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Jozef Wittner a 60% favorite over Matt Lee in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Matt Lee's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1549), separated by just 5 points.

Jozef Wittner enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jozef Wittner finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Matt Lee 43%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.