Combat Edge Intelligence

Jozef Wittner vs Phil Cardella

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record8-5-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'10"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight165 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jozef WittnerNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
Phil CardellaNow 1548
If they win+16→ 1564
If they lose-16→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1522 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.47
TBD
Strike accuracy
50%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
11%
TBD
Submission avg.
2.50

Trajectory

Jozef WittnerPhil Cardella
155016002008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
1 (13%)
8 (50%)
Submission
6 (75%)
5 (31%)
Decision
1 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Jozef Wittner51%
Phil Cardella 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jozef Wittner a 51% favorite over Phil Cardella in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Phil Cardella's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1548), separated by just 3 points.

Jozef Wittner enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Phil Cardella enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Jozef Wittner finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Phil Cardella 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.