Combat Edge Intelligence

Jozef Wittner vs Roger Zapata

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record4-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'11"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA Top Team KosiceTeamBruno Tostes BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jozef WittnerNow 1545
If they win+16→ 1561
If they lose-16→ 1529
Roger ZapataNow 1547
If they win+24→ 1571
If they lose-24→ 1523

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1524 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1502 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.60
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.13
TBD
Strike defense
36%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
82%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.39

Trajectory

Jozef WittnerRoger Zapata
155016002014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
3 (75%)
8 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (31%)
Decision
1 (25%)

Combat Edge model read

Jozef Wittner53%
Roger Zapata 47%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jozef Wittner a 53% favorite over Roger Zapata in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Roger Zapata's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1545 vs 1547), separated by just 2 points.

Jozef Wittner enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jozef Wittner finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Roger Zapata 75%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.