Combat Edge Intelligence

Jozef Wittner vs Rousimar Palhares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-7-0Record19-13-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'0"Height5'8"
74"ReachTBD
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
MMA Top Team KosiceTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Jozef WittnerNow 1544
If they win+16→ 1560
If they lose-16→ 1528
Rousimar PalharesNow 1544
If they win+12→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
TBD
Strike accuracy
52%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.04
TBD
Strike defense
60%
TBD
Takedown avg.
3.93
TBD
Takedown accuracy
46%
TBD
Takedown defense
0%
TBD
Submission avg.
4.11

Trajectory

Jozef WittnerRousimar Palhares
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (19%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (50%)
Submission
16 (84%)
5 (31%)
Decision
3 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Jozef Wittner60%
Rousimar Palhares 40%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Jozef Wittner a 60% favorite over Rousimar Palhares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1544 vs 1544), separated by just 0 points.

Jozef Wittner enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Rousimar Palhares enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Jozef Wittner finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Rousimar Palhares 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.