Joziah Fry vs Yve Nelson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
2-0-0Record3-3-0
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'5"Height5'8"
-Reach-
135 lbsWeight126 lbs
TeamCombat Club
What's at stake
Joziah Fry is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +21 while a loss costs more — Yve Nelson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+21→ 1569
If they lose-27→ 1521
If they win+27→ 1534
If they lose-21→ 1486
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1516 · 2 fightsPre-fight Elo1504 · 6 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Joziah FryYve Nelson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Joziah Fry74%
Yve Nelson 26%Elo baseline: 56%
The Combat Edge model makes Joziah Fry a 74% favorite over Yve Nelson in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (56%).
Joziah Fry holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1548 to 1507, a 41-point edge.
Joziah Fry enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Yve Nelson 33%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.