João Lucas Rocha
Elo1567SolidJoão Lucas Rocha vs Pedro Henrique Dias
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →Elo1567SolidPedro Henrique Dias
Elo1536AverageTale of the tape
4-2-0Record3-2-0
TBDDivisionTBD
TBDHeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeightTBD
TBDTeamTBD
What's at stake
João Lucas Rocha is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Pedro Henrique Dias carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1589
If they lose-26→ 1541
If they win+26→ 1562
If they lose-22→ 1514
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1544 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 9 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
João Lucas RochaPedro Henrique Dias
Combat Edge model read
João Lucas Rocha57%
Pedro Henrique Dias 43%Elo baseline: 54%
The Combat Edge model makes João Lucas Rocha a 57% favorite over Pedro Henrique Dias in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).
João Lucas Rocha holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1567 to 1536, a 31-point edge.
João Lucas Rocha enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Pedro Henrique Dias enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.