Combat Edge Intelligence

JP Buys vs Marcus McGhee

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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JP Buys
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JP Buys

“Young Savage”

9-6-0BantamweightUFC

1579Solid

Tale of the tape

9-6-0Record11-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
67"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMMA Lab

What's at stake

Marcus McGhee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — JP Buys carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

JP BuysNow 1579
If they win+22→ 1601
If they lose-10→ 1569
Marcus McGheeNow 1704
If they win+10→ 1714
If they lose-22→ 1682

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1590 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.88
Sig. strikes / min
5.50
40%
Strike accuracy
45%
3.02
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.64
40%
Strike defense
58%
1.55
Takedown avg.
0.31
25%
Takedown accuracy
14%
25%
Takedown defense
90%
2.32
Submission avg.
0.31

Trajectory

JP BuysMarcus McGhee
160016501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
5 (63%)
Submission
1 (9%)
0 (0%)
Decision
2 (18%)

Combat Edge model read

Marcus McGhee79%
JP Buys 21%Elo baseline: 67%

The Combat Edge model makes Marcus McGhee a 79% favorite over JP Buys in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).

Marcus McGhee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1704 to 1579, a 125-point edge.

JP Buys enters on a 4-fight loss streak.

JP Buys finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcus McGhee 82%.

Marcus McGhee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.