JP Buys vs Marcus McGhee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record12-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'8"
67"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamMMA Lab
What's at stake
Marcus McGhee is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +10 while a loss costs more — JP Buys carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1602
If they lose-10→ 1570
If they win+10→ 1728
If they lose-22→ 1696
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1578 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1607 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
JP BuysMarcus McGhee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcus McGhee81%
JP Buys 19%Elo baseline: 69%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcus McGhee a 81% favorite over JP Buys in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (69%).
Marcus McGhee holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1718 to 1580, a 138-point edge.
JP Buys enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Marcus McGhee enters on a 2-fight win streak.
JP Buys finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Marcus McGhee 83%.
Marcus McGhee carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.