JP Buys vs Shota Nagano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-6-0Record12-6-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'5"
67"Reach-
135 lbsWeight133 lbs
Xtreme CoutureTeamReversal Gym Musashi Kosugi Tokoro Plus
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1595
If they lose-16→ 1563
If they win+16→ 1596
If they lose-16→ 1564
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1576 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1494 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
JP BuysShota Nagano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shota Nagano60%
JP Buys 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shota Nagano a 60% favorite over JP Buys in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1579 vs 1580), separated by just 1 points.
JP Buys enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Shota Nagano enters on a 3-fight win streak.
JP Buys finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Shota Nagano 58%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.