Juan Alcain vs Paulo Santos
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
1-2-0Record0-3-0
TBDDivisionTBD
TBDHeightTBD
TBDReachTBD
TBDWeightTBD
Team
What's at stake
Juan Alcain is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +22 while a loss costs more — Paulo Santos carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+22→ 1495
If they lose-26→ 1447
If they win+26→ 1466
If they lose-22→ 1418
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1491 · 3 fightsPre-fight Elo1487 · 4 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Juan AlcainPaulo Santos
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Juan Alcain54%
Paulo Santos 46%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Juan Alcain a 54% favorite over Paulo Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Juan Alcain holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1473 to 1440, a 33-point edge.
Juan Alcain enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Paulo Santos enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.